← Segunda División 2017 · Sun, Apr 1, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Inaki Vicandi Garrido, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win | 58% | 1.68 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.56 |
| Cadiz win | 15% | 6.54 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | ⚽ | Óscar Trejo · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 40' | ⚽ | David Barral · Cadiz |
| 79' | 🟨 | Javi Guerra · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 87' | 🟨 | Rafidine Abdullah · Cadiz |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 7 |
| 3 | On target | 1 |
| 8 | Corners | 5 |
| 9 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | Cadiz |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.49 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.40 |
| coach days | 424.00 | 730.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| venue | Estadio de Vallecas |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.26 | 2.02 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1576.60 | 1575.33 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.64 | 4.81 |
| eye test v1 | 0.33 | -0.17 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.38 | 0.33 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.10 | 50.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 1.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.82 |
| league points | 62.00 | 62.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.20 | 74.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.60 | 50.60 |
| rest days | 7.76 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.72 | 1.77 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.00 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.39 | -0.13 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.60 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 27.86 | 27.54 |
| state index | 0.39 | 0.32 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.04 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.80 |