← Segunda División 2017 · Sun, Apr 1, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Saul Ais Reig, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Granada win | 46% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.36 |
| Lorca FC win | 25% | 3.90 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 43' | ⚽ | Daniel Ojeda · Lorca FC |
| 60' | ⚽ | Pedro · Granada |
| 64' | 🟨 | Javi Espinosa · Granada |
| 76' | ⚽ | Antonio López · Lorca FC |
| 80' | 🟨 | Antonio López · Lorca FC |
| 81' | ⚽ | Ángel Montoro · Granada |
| 85' | ⚽ | Fran Cruz · Lorca FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 13 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 13 | Fouls | 6 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lorca FC | Granada |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| venue | Estadio Francisco Artes Carrasco |
| coach days | 243.00 | 274.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 8.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.72 | 5.50 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1303.25 | 1496.92 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.92 | -13.44 |
| eye test v1 | -0.58 | 0.36 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.37 | 0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.70 | 62.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.53 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.63 |
| league points | 20.00 | 55.00 |
| league rank | 24.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 18.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.60 | 75.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.60 | 53.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 0.57 | 1.62 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | 9.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 18.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.39 | 0.09 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 1.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 25.47 | 27.73 |
| state index | -1.66 | -0.06 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.98 | -0.31 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |