← Segunda División 2017 · Sun, Mar 25, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Daniel Ocon Arraiz, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Tenerife win | 71% | 1.37 |
| Draw | 18% | 5.25 |
| Lorca FC win | 11% | 9.06 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Suso · Tenerife |
| 31' | 🟨 | Raul Camara · Tenerife |
| 62' | ⚽ | Bryan Acosta · Tenerife |
| 70' | 🟨 | Federico Vega · Lorca FC |
| 85' | 🟨 | Carlos Pomares · Lorca FC |
| 90' | 🟨 | Nando · Lorca FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 8 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 1 |
| 15 | Fouls | 16 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Tenerife | Lorca FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | Heliodoro Rodríguez López |
| coach days | 52.00 | 236.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.05 | 2.49 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1497.58 | 1309.04 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 23.58 | -1.28 |
| eye test v1 | -0.42 | -0.65 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.36 | 0.48 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.00 | 62.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.65 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.60 |
| league points | 44.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 17.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 65.40 | 69.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.00 | 42.60 |
| rest days | 6.96 | 7.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 0.59 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.55 | -1.24 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 27.91 | 26.14 |
| state index | 0.23 | -1.48 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.99 | -0.89 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.20 |