← Segunda División 2017 · Sat, Mar 24, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Guillermo Cuadra Fernandez, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valladolid win | 37% | 2.59 |
| Lugo win | 35% | 2.79 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | 🟨 | Luis Ruiz · Lugo |
| 67' | 🟨 | Luis Ruiz · Lugo |
| 67' | 🟥 | Luis Ruiz · Lugo |
| 69' | 🟨 | Pablo Hervias · Valladolid |
| 87' | 🟨 | Toni Martínez · Valladolid |
| 88' | 🟨 | Borja · Valladolid |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jaime Mata · Valladolid |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 8 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 9 | Corners | 2 |
| 11 | Fouls | 22 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lugo | Valladolid |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.51 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.49 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.80 |
| venue | Anxo Carro |
| coach days | 266.00 | 266.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.16 | 2.51 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1466.80 | 1511.23 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -19.54 | 5.37 |
| eye test v1 | -0.81 | 0.22 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.21 | 0.45 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.30 | 52.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.78 |
| league points | 51.00 | 54.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 10.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.00 | 76.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.00 | 51.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.48 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.59 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | -4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.09 | 0.03 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 26.88 | 27.55 |
| state index | -0.31 | -0.07 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.27 | 0.38 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |