← Segunda División 2017 · Sun, Mar 18, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Eduardo Prieto Iglesias, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Numancia win | 43% | 2.23 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.23 |
| Tenerife win | 27% | 3.65 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 30' | 🟨 | Jorge Sáenz · Tenerife |
| 42' | 🟨 | Vitolo · Tenerife |
| 59' | ⚽ (og) | Lucas Aveldaño · Numancia |
| 66' | 🟨 | Tyronne · Tenerife |
| 79' | ⚽ | Carlos Gutiérrez · Numancia |
| 83' | 🟨 | Iñigo Pérez · Numancia |
| 85' | 🟨 | Bryan Acosta · Tenerife |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 10 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 8 |
| 10 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Numancia | Tenerife |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.76 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| venue | Los Pajaritos |
| coach days | 1021.00 | 45.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.22 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.71 | 3.97 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1473.93 | 1511.62 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -34.47 | 48.92 |
| eye test v1 | -0.17 | 0.49 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.21 | 0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 66.20 | 50.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.55 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.68 |
| league points | 51.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.80 | 66.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.80 | 42.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.55 | 1.38 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.64 | -1.61 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 26.74 | 28.45 |
| state index | -0.40 | 0.63 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.27 | -1.66 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.34 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |