← Segunda División 2017 · Sun, Mar 18, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Luis Mario Milla Alvendiz
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win | 64% | 1.51 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.16 |
| Reus win | 12% | 7.78 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 32' | ⚽ | Raúl de Tomás · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 34' | ⚽ | Jesus Olmo · Reus |
| 40' | 🟨 | David Querol · Reus |
| 45' | ⚽ | Raúl de Tomás · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 56' | ⚽ | Jorge Miramón · Reus |
| 66' | 🟨 | Gus Ledes · Reus |
| 89' | 🟨 | Fran Beltrán · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 89' | ⚽ | Raúl de Tomás · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 90' | 🟨 | Bebé · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 7 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 8 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | Reus |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.29 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.45 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 410.00 |
| venue | Estadio de Vallecas |
| 260.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.69 | 2.08 |
| elo | 1557.40 | 1440.40 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 41.22 | 9.61 |
| eye test v1 | 0.32 | -0.33 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.25 | 0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.40 | 63.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.41 | 1.14 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.79 |
| league points | 54.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.80 | 77.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.00 | 54.20 |
| rest days | 7.92 | 6.83 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.80 | 1.27 |
| skill v1 | 0.24 | 0.38 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.60 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.80 |
| state index | 0.81 | -0.26 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.18 | 0.50 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |