← Segunda División 2017 · Sun, Mar 11, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Jorge Figueroa Vazquez, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Albacete win | 40% | 2.40 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.85 |
| CA Osasuna win | 26% | 3.80 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | 🟨 | Lucas Torró · CA Osasuna |
| 37' | 🟨 | Jon Erice · Albacete |
| 39' | 🟨 | Esteban Saveljich · Albacete |
| 42' | 🟨 | Nicolás Gorosito · Albacete |
| 42' | 🟨 | Oier · CA Osasuna |
| 43' | 🟨 | Esteban Saveljich · Albacete |
| 43' | 🟥 | Esteban Saveljich · Albacete |
| 44' | 🟨 | Álvaro Arroyo · Albacete |
| 52' | 🟨 | Tano Bonnin · CA Osasuna |
| 57' | 🟨 | Mariano Bittolo · Albacete |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 4 | Shots | 5 |
| 1 | On target | 1 |
| 2 | Corners | 1 |
| 16 | Fouls | 10 |
| 6 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Albacete | CA Osasuna |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.40 |
| venue | Carlos Belmonte |
| coach days | 161.00 | 283.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.98 | 2.87 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1429.93 | 1499.91 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.27 | -6.85 |
| eye test v1 | -0.86 | -0.68 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.27 | -0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.90 | 60.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.74 |
| league points | 43.00 | 53.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 54.20 | 68.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.60 | 49.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.39 | 1.61 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 9.00 |
| skill v1 | -2.74 | -0.87 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 28.71 | 25.32 |
| state index | 0.14 | -0.13 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.55 | 0.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |