← Segunda División 2017 · Sun, Mar 11, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Alvaro Moreno Aragon
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza win | 67% | 1.45 |
| Draw | 20% | 4.81 |
| Lorca FC win | 13% | 7.56 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | ⚽ | Giorgi Papunashvili · Zaragoza |
| 21' | ⚽ | Borja Iglesias · Zaragoza |
| 56' | ⚽ | Alberto Noguera · Lorca FC |
| 59' | ⚽ | Bruno Perone · Zaragoza |
| 65' | 🟨 | Federico Bikoro · Lorca FC |
| 76' | 🟨 | Federico Bikoro · Lorca FC |
| 76' | 🟥 | Federico Bikoro · Lorca FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 7 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 9 | Fouls | 11 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Zaragoza | Lorca FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.49 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.19 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.60 |
| venue | La Romareda |
| coach days | 253.00 | 222.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.06 | 2.31 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1515.52 | 1312.63 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 52.51 | -1.43 |
| eye test v1 | 0.19 | -1.31 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.29 | -0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.50 | 62.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.53 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.63 |
| league points | 47.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 10.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 15.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.00 | 67.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.00 | 45.60 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.52 | 0.59 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.46 | -1.22 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 2.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| squad age | 26.70 | 26.46 |
| state index | 0.76 | -1.41 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.43 | -0.53 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.20 |