← Segunda División 2017 · Mon, Feb 26, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Alvaro Moreno Aragon
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Tenerife win | 58% | 1.68 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.85 |
| Lugo win | 17% | 5.75 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | 🟨 | Raul Camara · Tenerife |
| 15' | ⚽ | Fede Vico · Lugo |
| 20' | 🟨 | Serge Leuko · Lugo |
| 21' | ⚽ (pen) | Samuele Longo · Tenerife |
| 23' | ⚽ | Juan Villar · Tenerife |
| 29' | 🟨 | Alberto Jiménez · Tenerife |
| 45' | 🟨 | Ramon Azeez · Lugo |
| 59' | 🟨 | Nicolás Albarracín · Lugo |
| 60' | ⚽ | Alex Mula · Tenerife |
| 64' | 🟨 | Carlos Ruiz · Tenerife |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 18 | Shots | 12 |
| 8 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 8 |
| 11 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Tenerife | Lugo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.38 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 25.00 |
| venue | Heliodoro Rodríguez López |
| 240.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.75 | 3.16 |
| elo | 1474.50 | 1457.86 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -19.44 | -11.67 |
| eye test v1 | 0.49 | -0.12 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.44 | -0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 47.70 | 54.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.58 | 1.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.66 |
| league points | 34.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.20 | 77.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.20 | 53.80 |
| rest days | 9.08 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.26 | 1.52 |
| skill v1 | -0.74 | 0.39 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.00 |
| state index | -0.22 | -0.54 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.23 | 0.54 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |