← Segunda División 2017 · Sat, Feb 24, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Saul Ais Reig, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cadiz win | 60% | 1.62 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.68 |
| Lorca FC win | 14% | 7.11 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 36' | 🟨 | Tropi · Lorca FC |
| 60' | 🟨 | Álvaro García · Cadiz |
| 75' | 🟨 | Marcos Mauro · Cadiz |
| 85' | 🟨 | Aly Mallé · Lorca FC |
| 90' | 🟨 | Róber · Cadiz |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 9 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 12 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cadiz | Lorca FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.49 | 0.09 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.00 |
| venue | Estadio Ramon de Carranza |
| coach days | 694.00 | 207.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.70 | 2.02 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1577.82 | 1314.18 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -22.76 | -15.21 |
| eye test v1 | -0.79 | -1.09 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.11 | -0.35 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.50 | 61.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.84 | 0.57 |
| league points | 51.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 13.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.40 | 67.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.20 | 40.20 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.83 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.76 | 0.60 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | -5.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.07 | -1.59 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 1.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 28.51 | 26.46 |
| state index | 0.05 | -1.76 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.09 | -0.93 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.11 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.00 |