← Segunda División 2017 · Sat, Feb 24, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Juan Luis Pulido Santana, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win | 54% | 1.81 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.70 |
| Huesca win | 20% | 4.86 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 9 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 19 | Fouls | 20 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | Huesca |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 |
| venue | Estadio de Vallecas |
| 2.20 |
| coach days | 388.00 | 238.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.05 | 2.90 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.67 |
| elo | 1565.05 | 1599.02 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 27.44 | 10.33 |
| eye test v1 | 0.93 | 0.98 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.27 | 0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.60 | 68.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.71 |
| league points | 52.00 | 60.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.40 | 80.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.40 | 55.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.73 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 9.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.60 | 17.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.77 | 0.73 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.10 | 5.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 6.00 |
| squad age | 27.10 | 26.75 |
| state index | 0.78 | 0.62 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.17 | -0.21 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.39 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.40 |