← Segunda División 2017 · Sun, Feb 18, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Adrian Cordero Vega, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lugo win | 46% | 2.13 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.36 |
| Barcelona B win | 26% | 3.80 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | 🟨 | Luis Muñoz · Lugo |
| 10' | 🟨 | David Costas · Barcelona B |
| 17' | ⚽ | Chuli · Lugo |
| 37' | 🟨 | Fernando Seoane · Lugo |
| 50' | ⚽ | Matías Nahuel · Barcelona B |
| 61' | 🟨 | Sergi Palencia · Barcelona B |
| 68' | 🟨 | Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta · Barcelona B |
| 70' | ⚽ | Matías Nahuel · Barcelona B |
| 74' | 🟨 | Álvaro Lemos · Lugo |
| 90' | 🟨 | Martin Hongla · Barcelona B |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 12 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 3 | Corners | 2 |
| 16 | Fouls | 8 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lugo | Barcelona B |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.60 |
| venue | Anxo Carro |
| coach days | 232.00 | 964.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.20 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -3.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.06 | 1.89 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1486.33 | 1415.34 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 14.01 | 32.71 |
| eye test v1 | 0.00 | -0.26 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.19 | -0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.30 | 61.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.73 |
| league points | 45.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.00 | 79.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.80 | 50.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.55 | 1.21 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.14 | 0.32 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 27.62 | 21.92 |
| state index | 0.04 | 0.12 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.40 | 0.43 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |