← Segunda División 2017 · Sun, Feb 11, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Oliver de la Fuente Ramos, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza win | 45% | 2.14 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.29 |
| Lugo win | 25% | 3.88 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | ⚽ | Borja Iglesias · Zaragoza |
| 31' | 🟨 | Chuli · Lugo |
| 69' | 🟨 | Javi Ros · Zaragoza |
| 76' | 🟨 | Iriome Gonzalez · Lugo |
| 82' | 🟨 | Fernando Seoane · Lugo |
| 83' | ⚽ | Oliver Buff · Zaragoza |
| 90' | 🟨 | Bernardo · Lugo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 14 |
| 7 | On target | 4 |
| 9 | Corners | 8 |
| 14 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Zaragoza | Lugo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.00 |
| venue | La Romareda |
| coach days | 225.00 | 225.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.01 | 3.60 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1463.83 | 1500.32 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.98 | 39.97 |
| eye test v1 | -0.51 | 0.02 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.09 | -0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.30 | 57.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.57 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.65 |
| league points | 35.00 | 45.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.80 | 75.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.80 | 53.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.30 | 1.61 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.16 | 0.09 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 26.65 | 25.78 |
| state index | 0.04 | 0.29 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.16 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |