← Segunda División 2017 · Sun, Feb 11, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Ruben Eiriz Mata, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reus win | 47% | 2.08 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.18 |
| Lorca FC win | 23% | 4.24 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 38' | 🟨 | Jesus Olmo · Reus |
| 48' | ⚽ | Fran Carbia · Reus |
| 52' | 🟨 | Vitor Silva · Reus |
| 52' | 🟨 | Carlos Peña · Lorca FC |
| 72' | 🟨 | Markus Holgersson · Lorca FC |
| 74' | ⚽ (pen) | Vitor Silva · Reus |
| 76' | 🟨 | Fran Cruz · Lorca FC |
| 83' | ⚽ | Dejan Lekic · Reus |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 4 |
| 7 | On target | 0 |
| 7 | Corners | 2 |
| 11 | Fouls | 18 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Reus | Lorca FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.40 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal de Reus |
| coach days | 225.00 | 194.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.04 | 2.02 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.23 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1463.34 | 1314.05 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -8.85 | -33.93 |
| eye test v1 | -0.48 | -0.43 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.31 | 0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.20 | 62.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 3.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.85 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.56 |
| league points | 36.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 10.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.20 | 65.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.00 | 36.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 0.59 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.34 | -2.07 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.30 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 26.75 | 26.75 |
| state index | -0.28 | -1.69 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.37 | -1.63 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.00 |