← Segunda División 2017 · Sat, Feb 10, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Santiago Varon Aceiton
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| CA Osasuna win | 40% | 2.44 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.01 |
| Almeria win | 28% | 3.48 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 45' | 🟨 | Sulayman Marreh · Almeria |
| 50' | ⚽ | David Rodriguez · CA Osasuna |
| 53' | 🟨 | Borja Lasso · CA Osasuna |
| 75' | 🟨 | Joaquín Fernández · Almeria |
| 86' | 🟨 | Roberto Torres · CA Osasuna |
| 86' | 🟨 | Fran Mérida · CA Osasuna |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 7 |
| 1 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 16 | Fouls | 23 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Almeria | CA Osasuna |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| venue | Estadio del Mediterráneo |
| coach days | 346.00 | 254.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.50 | 2.67 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.26 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1435.65 | 1506.76 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.29 | -12.19 |
| eye test v1 | -1.37 | -0.20 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.41 | 0.00 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.30 | 52.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.70 |
| league points | 33.00 | 46.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.40 | 75.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.40 | 49.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.22 | 1.64 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.00 | 5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.12 | -0.17 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 26.91 | 25.63 |
| state index | -0.06 | -0.18 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.33 | -0.23 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |