← Segunda División 2017 · Sun, Feb 4, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Jorge Figueroa Vazquez, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Numancia win | 59% | 1.62 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.66 |
| Reus win | 14% | 6.80 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 27' | 🟨 | Mayor · Reus |
| 54' | ⚽ | Manu Del Moral · Numancia |
| 89' | 🟨 | Dani Calvo · Numancia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 6 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 2 | Corners | 5 |
| 8 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Numancia | Reus |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.12 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.80 |
| coach days | 979.00 | 218.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.05 |
| venue | Los Pajaritos |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| -2.40 |
| 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 2.26 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1500.93 | 1470.80 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.53 | -24.62 |
| eye test v1 | -0.89 | -0.47 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.29 | 0.47 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.70 | 61.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.77 |
| league points | 44.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.40 | 77.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.20 | 52.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.69 | 1.38 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.14 | 0.24 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 26.02 | 27.27 |
| state index | 0.06 | -0.56 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.77 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |