← Segunda División 2017 · Sun, Feb 4, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Gorka Sagues Oscoz, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lugo win | 45% | 2.18 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.25 |
| Albacete win | 26% | 3.79 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | 🟨 | Jon Erice · Albacete |
| 45' | 🟨 | Chus Herrero · Albacete |
| 46' | 🟨 | Roman Zozulya · Albacete |
| 48' | 🟨 | Fede Vico · Lugo |
| 51' | 🟨 | Ramon Azeez · Lugo |
| 58' | ⚽ | Jaime Romero · Lugo |
| 62' | ⚽ | Dani Rodríguez · Albacete |
| 63' | 🟨 | Carlos Delgado · Albacete |
| 78' | 🟨 | Dani Rodríguez · Albacete |
| 90' | 🟨 | Mariano Bittolo · Albacete |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 17 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 8 | Corners | 7 |
| 13 | Fouls | 18 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lugo | Albacete |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.48 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.31 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.48 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 218.00 |
| venue | Anxo Carro |
| 126.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.55 | 2.58 |
| elo | 1486.75 | 1464.37 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.24 | 9.95 |
| eye test v1 | 0.01 | -0.60 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.12 | -0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.70 | 66.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 0.88 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.63 |
| league points | 40.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.40 | 60.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.80 | 38.80 |
| rest days | 7.65 | 7.67 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.67 | 1.29 |
| skill v1 | 0.00 | -2.44 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.60 |
| state index | 0.05 | -0.10 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.24 | -1.83 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |