← Segunda División 2017 · Sun, Jan 28, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Adrian Cordero Vega, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria win | 35% | 2.78 |
| Numancia win | 34% | 2.84 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.14 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 31' | 🟨 | Fidel · Almeria |
| 53' | 🟨 | Gaspar Panadero · Almeria |
| 64' | 🟨 | Markel Etxeberria · Numancia |
| 87' | 🟨 | Nacho Sánchez · Numancia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Marc Mateu · Numancia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 11 |
| 0 | On target | 1 |
| 8 | Corners | 5 |
| 12 | Fouls | 19 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Almeria | Numancia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.20 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.49 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 1.60 |
| venue | Estadio del Mediterráneo |
| coach days | 333.00 | 972.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.99 | 1.05 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1426.49 | 1501.36 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.88 | 12.12 |
| eye test v1 | -1.07 | -0.92 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.41 | -0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.50 | 65.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.72 |
| league points | 29.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.00 | 64.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.20 | 44.40 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.16 | 1.72 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.80 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.21 | -1.63 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 27.17 | 26.25 |
| state index | -0.29 | 0.03 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.30 | -0.95 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.00 |