← Segunda División 2017 · Sat, Jan 27, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Daniel Ocon Arraiz, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cadiz win | 46% | 2.13 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.14 |
| Lugo win | 23% | 4.14 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 30' | 🟨 | Rafidine Abdullah · Cadiz |
| 53' | ⚽ | Eugeni Valderrama · Cadiz |
| 61' | 🟨 | Jon Ander Garrido · Cadiz |
| 61' | 🟨 | Serge Leuko · Lugo |
| 87' | ⚽ | Cristian Herrera · Lugo |
| 89' | 🟨 | Jon Ander Garrido · Cadiz |
| 89' | 🟥 | Jon Ander Garrido · Cadiz |
| 90' | 🟨 | Álvaro García · Cadiz |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 7 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 14 | Fouls | 13 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cadiz | Lugo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.80 |
| venue | Estadio Ramon de Carranza |
| coach days | 666.00 | 210.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 3.75 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1587.59 | 1500.46 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.48 | 20.59 |
| eye test v1 | -0.49 | -0.09 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.27 | 0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.00 | 55.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.90 | 0.61 |
| league points | 46.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 64.20 | 74.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 37.00 | 51.60 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.81 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.84 | 1.65 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | -2.17 | -0.13 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 26.44 | 26.28 |
| state index | 0.50 | 0.08 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.46 | 0.04 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.00 |