← Segunda División 2017 · Sat, Jan 27, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Aitor Gorostegui Fernandez Orte, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win | 68% | 1.43 |
| Draw | 20% | 4.84 |
| Lorca FC win | 12% | 8.09 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | ⚽ | Raúl de Tomás · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 22' | ⚽ | Raúl de Tomás · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 28' | 🟨 | Tropi · Lorca FC |
| 48' | ⚽ | Raúl de Tomás · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 76' | ⚽ | Unai López · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 83' | ⚽ (og) | Dorado · Lorca FC |
| 90' | ⚽ | Javi Guerra · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 25 | Shots | 8 |
| 13 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 1 |
| 10 | Fouls | 13 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | Lorca FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 |
| venue | Estadio de Vallecas |
| 4.20 |
| coach days | 360.00 | 179.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.69 | 1.34 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.21 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1537.61 | 1329.39 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.40 | -33.86 |
| eye test v1 | 0.27 | -0.77 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.30 | 0.36 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.20 | 62.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.59 | 0.55 |
| league points | 39.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.80 | 65.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.20 | 40.20 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.56 | 0.64 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | -3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.59 | -1.85 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.30 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 26.69 | 26.77 |
| state index | 0.08 | -1.54 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.32 | -1.21 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.00 |