← Segunda División 2017 · Sat, Jan 20, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Isidro Diaz de Mera Escuderos, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oviedo win | 60% | 1.61 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.78 |
| Almeria win | 14% | 6.92 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 41' | 🟨 | Marco Motta · Almeria |
| 43' | 🟨 | Carlos Hernández · Oviedo |
| 52' | 🟨 | Verza · Almeria |
| 53' | ⚽ | Fidel · Almeria |
| 58' | 🟨 | Mandi · Almeria |
| 61' | ⚽ | Toché · Oviedo |
| 69' | 🟨 | Aaron Ñiguez · Oviedo |
| 72' | ⚽ (og) | Renê · Oviedo |
| 74' | 🟨 | Francisco Varela · Oviedo |
| 74' | 🟨 | Hicham Khaloua · Almeria |
| 84' | 🟨 | Fidel · Almeria |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 7 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 1 |
| 20 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oviedo | Almeria |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.00 |
| venue | Jorge Garbajosa |
| coach days | 203.00 | 325.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.60 | 3.53 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.38 |
| elo | 1543.30 | 1431.92 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 32.18 | -3.23 |
| eye test v1 | -0.86 | -0.82 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.18 | -0.35 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 71.80 | 53.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.81 | 0.73 |
| league points | 41.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 11.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 61.20 | 71.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.40 | 41.40 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.71 | 1.21 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 8.60 |
| skill v1 | -2.19 | -1.15 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 29.37 | 26.59 |
| state index | 0.64 | -0.55 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.16 | -0.43 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.20 |