← Segunda División 2017 · Sun, Jan 14, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Adrian Cordero Vega, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cultural Leonesa win | 45% | 2.18 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.04 |
| Lorca FC win | 24% | 4.13 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 33' | 🟨 | Aly Mallé · Lorca FC |
| 43' | 🟨 | Iván Garrido · Cultural Leonesa |
| 43' | 🟨 | Carlos Peña · Lorca FC |
| 58' | ⚽ (pen) | Javier Muñoz · Lorca FC |
| 60' | 🟨 | Rodri · Cultural Leonesa |
| 64' | 🟨 | Markus Holgersson · Lorca FC |
| 69' | ⚽ | Josep Señé · Cultural Leonesa |
| 77' | 🟨 | Yeray Gonzalez · Cultural Leonesa |
| 80' | 🟨 | — · Cultural Leonesa |
| 88' | ⚽ | Sergio Marcos · Cultural Leonesa |
| 90' | 🟨 | Javier Muñoz · Lorca FC |
| 90' | 🟨 | Abel · Lorca FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 8 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 7 | Corners | 2 |
| 8 | Fouls | 12 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cultural Leonesa | Lorca FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 3.00 |
| venue | Estadio Reino de Leon |
| coach days | 623.00 | 166.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.58 | 1.49 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.21 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1444.12 | 1340.02 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.97 | -38.38 |
| eye test v1 | -0.51 | -0.71 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.12 | -0.24 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.90 | 58.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.55 |
| league points | 26.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.80 | 71.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 60.40 | 55.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.13 | 0.70 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | 1.36 | -0.17 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 25.35 | 28.23 |
| state index | -0.37 | -1.31 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.12 | 0.40 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |