← Segunda División 2017 · Sat, Jan 13, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Saul Ais Reig, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 36% | 2.67 |
| Reus win | 32% | 3.02 |
| Lugo win | 32% | 3.08 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | ⚽ | Cristian Herrera · Lugo |
| 45' | 🟨 | Mayor · Reus |
| 52' | 🟨 | Luis Ruiz · Lugo |
| 59' | 🟨 | Fran Carbia · Reus |
| 61' | 🟨 | Carlos Pita · Lugo |
| 74' | 🟨 | Vasyl Kravets · Lugo |
| 90' | 🟨 | Cristian Herrera · Lugo |
| 90' | 🟨 | Nicolás Albarracín · Lugo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 10 |
| 3 | On target | 6 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 9 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Reus | Lugo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal de Reus |
| coach days | 196.00 | 196.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.38 | 4.01 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1470.00 | 1460.35 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -36.69 | -19.38 |
| eye test v1 | -1.00 | -0.02 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.30 | -0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.90 | 56.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.46 |
| league points | 32.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.20 | 75.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.00 | 54.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.39 | 1.48 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.80 | 4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.11 | 0.17 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.10 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 28.28 | 26.64 |
| state index | -0.76 | -0.39 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.23 | 0.07 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |