← Segunda División 2017 · Fri, Jan 12, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: David Perez Pallas, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win | 51% | 1.91 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.38 |
| Oviedo win | 20% | 4.88 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | 🟨 | Juan Forlin · Oviedo |
| 21' | 🟨 | Aaron Ñiguez · Oviedo |
| 24' | ⚽ | Alejandro Domínguez · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 40' | ⚽ | Christian Fernández · Oviedo |
| 49' | ⚽ | Carlos Hernández · Oviedo |
| 50' | 🟨 | Dorado · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 57' | 🟨 | Baiano · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 65' | 🟨 | Manucho · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 72' | 🟥 | Emiliano Velazquez · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 77' | 🟨 | Carlos Hernández · Oviedo |
| 81' | 🟨 | Christian Fernández · Oviedo |
| 82' | ⚽ (pen) | Óscar Trejo · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 90' | 🟨 | Óscar Trejo · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 90' | 🟨 | Mossa · Oviedo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 11 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 1 | Corners | 6 |
| 15 | Fouls | 17 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | Oviedo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.42 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.46 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 345.00 |
| venue | Estadio de Vallecas |
| 195.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.86 | 3.65 |
| elo | 1507.55 | 1524.76 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.28 | 47.10 |
| eye test v1 | 1.04 | -0.62 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.06 | 0.24 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.80 | 66.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.71 | 1.06 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.88 |
| league points | 35.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.80 | 59.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.00 | 39.00 |
| rest days | 6.13 | 5.13 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.67 | 1.71 |
| skill v1 | 0.65 | -2.50 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 3.80 |
| state index | 0.23 | 0.70 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.00 | -1.37 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |