← Segunda División 2017 · Wed, Dec 20, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Daniel Ocon Arraiz, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| CA Osasuna win | 36% | 2.70 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.96 |
| Lorca FC win | 31% | 3.16 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | ⚽ | Sebastian Coris · CA Osasuna |
| 31' | 🟨 | Alberto Noguera · Lorca FC |
| 55' | 🟨 | Fran Cruz · Lorca FC |
| 74' | 🟨 | Cristian Bustos · Lorca FC |
| 90' | 🟨 | Miguel Merentiel · Lorca FC |
| 90' | 🟨 | Manel Martínez · Lorca FC |
| 90' | 🟨 | Fran Mérida · CA Osasuna |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 14 |
| 2 | On target | 7 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 17 | Fouls | 12 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lorca FC | CA Osasuna |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.49 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| venue | Estadio Francisco Artes Carrasco |
| coach days | 141.00 | 202.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.79 | 2.21 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1363.25 | 1490.71 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -16.40 | -25.26 |
| eye test v1 | -0.24 | -1.31 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.61 | 0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.20 | 46.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.54 | 0.71 |
| league points | 16.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.60 | 64.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.80 | 49.20 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 0.80 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 7.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.09 | -1.30 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 2.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 26.23 | 26.56 |
| state index | -0.94 | -0.57 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.53 | 0.02 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.16 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |