← Segunda División 2017 · Sun, Dec 17, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Jose Antonio Lopez Toca
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huesca win | 54% | 1.79 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.54 |
| Lugo win | 18% | 5.41 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | 🟨 | Bernardo · Lugo |
| 21' | ⚽ (pen) | Gonzalo Melero · Huesca |
| 41' | 🟨 | Álex Remiro · Huesca |
| 44' | ⚽ | David Ferreiro · Huesca |
| 63' | 🟨 | David Ferreiro · Huesca |
| 77' | 🟨 | Ramon Azeez · Lugo |
| 78' | ⚽ | Álex Gallar · Huesca |
| 85' | 🟨 | Cucho Hernández · Huesca |
| 90' | 🟨 | Nicolás Albarracín · Lugo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 11 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 8 |
| 16 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Huesca | Lugo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.38 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 169.00 |
| venue | El Alcoraz |
| 169.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.87 | 3.68 |
| elo | 1550.85 | 1491.21 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 14.77 | 17.30 |
| eye test v1 | 0.11 | 0.27 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.27 | 0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.10 | 62.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.18 | 0.85 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.83 | 0.64 |
| league points | 33.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.20 | 75.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.20 | 55.40 |
| rest days | 7.92 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.83 | 1.83 |
| skill v1 | 0.15 | 0.21 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 1.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.00 |
| state index | 0.52 | 0.17 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.10 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.60 |