← Segunda División 2017 · Sat, Dec 16, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Ruben Eiriz Mata, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Albacete win | 41% | 2.35 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.09 |
| Zaragoza win | 27% | 3.61 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 53' | 🟨 | Dani Rodríguez · Albacete |
| 67' | 🟨 | Jorge Pombo · Zaragoza |
| 75' | 🟨 | Simone Grippo · Zaragoza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 12 |
| 2 | On target | 1 |
| 6 | Corners | 1 |
| 15 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Albacete | Zaragoza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| coach days | 76.00 | 168.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| venue | Carlos Belmonte |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| -0.80 |
| -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.37 | 2.60 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1391.47 | 1465.79 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 14.99 | -5.05 |
| eye test v1 | 0.17 | 0.10 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.02 | 0.41 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.10 | 56.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.69 |
| league points | 25.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 60.40 | 78.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.00 | 50.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.47 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.25 | 1.30 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | -2.31 | 0.20 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 28.67 | 26.62 |
| state index | -0.14 | -0.35 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.95 | -0.05 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |