← Segunda División 2017 · Sat, Dec 16, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Aitor Gorostegui Fernandez Orte, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria win | 40% | 2.42 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.12 |
| Cordoba win | 28% | 3.43 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | 🟨 | Marco Motta · Almeria |
| 37' | 🟨 | Joaquín Fernández · Almeria |
| 42' | 🟨 | Mandi · Almeria |
| 43' | 🟨 | Sergio Aguza · Cordoba |
| 84' | 🟨 | Javi Galán · Cordoba |
| 85' | ⚽ | Marco Motta · Almeria |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 11 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 7 |
| 14 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Almeria | Cordoba |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.50 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.60 |
| venue | Estadio del Mediterráneo |
| coach days | 290.00 | 15.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.63 | 3.57 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1428.37 | 1385.91 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.45 | 0.72 |
| eye test v1 | 0.12 | -0.02 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.58 | 0.58 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.80 | 50.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.64 |
| league points | 22.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 11.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.40 | 77.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 39.40 | 50.80 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.10 | 0.74 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | -1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.69 | 0.19 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 26.60 | 27.54 |
| state index | -0.25 | -0.98 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.22 | 0.00 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |