← Segunda División 2017 · Sat, Dec 16, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Santiago Varon Aceiton
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valladolid win | 63% | 1.54 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.16 |
| Lorca FC win | 13% | 7.45 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 27' | 🟨 | Carlos Pomares · Lorca FC |
| 28' | ⚽ | Borja · Valladolid |
| 53' | 🟨 | Borja · Valladolid |
| 60' | ⚽ | Jaime Mata · Valladolid |
| 63' | 🟨 | Luismi · Valladolid |
| 70' | ⚽ (pen) | Pablo Hervias · Valladolid |
| 89' | 🟨 | Alberto Noguera · Lorca FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 14 |
| 5 | On target | 1 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 17 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Valladolid | Lorca FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.46 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| venue | José Zorrilla |
| coach days | 168.00 | 137.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.53 | 2.88 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1483.53 | 1372.78 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -17.14 | -3.44 |
| eye test v1 | 0.05 | -0.14 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.10 | -0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.70 | 60.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.61 |
| league points | 27.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 10.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.80 | 72.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.80 | 56.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.42 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.35 | 0.84 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.60 | 0.02 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 27.59 | 26.37 |
| state index | -0.44 | -0.68 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.22 | 0.64 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |