← Segunda División 2017 · Sun, Dec 10, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Isidro Diaz de Mera Escuderos, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lugo win | 45% | 2.17 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.33 |
| Cultural Leonesa win | 26% | 3.71 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | 🟨 | Ahmad Yasser · Cultural Leonesa |
| 42' | 🟨 | Josete · Lugo |
| 47' | ⚽ | Mario Barco Vila · Lugo |
| 53' | ⚽ | Iriome Gonzalez · Lugo |
| 61' | ⚽ | Mario Barco Vila · Lugo |
| 62' | 🟨 | Rodri · Cultural Leonesa |
| 64' | 🟨 | Edu Campabadal · Lugo |
| 90' | ⚽ | Ariday · Cultural Leonesa |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 9 |
| 8 | On target | 2 |
| 12 | Corners | 4 |
| 22 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lugo | Cultural Leonesa |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | Anxo Carro |
| coach days | 162.00 | 588.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | — |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.95 | 2.00 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1479.80 | 1453.10 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.26 | -17.05 |
| eye test v1 | -0.12 | -0.14 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.05 | 0.29 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.10 | 63.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.76 |
| league points | 31.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 13.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.60 | 83.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.20 | 55.80 |
| rest days | 6.92 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.63 | 1.16 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.60 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.29 | 1.09 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 26.31 | 25.61 |
| state index | 0.14 | -0.94 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.57 | 0.51 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.80 |