← Segunda División 2017 · Sat, Dec 9, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Valentin Pizarro Gomez, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Numancia win | 55% | 1.76 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.44 |
| Lorca FC win | 16% | 5.99 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | 🟨 | Cristian Bustos · Lorca FC |
| 20' | 🟨 | Carlos Pomares · Lorca FC |
| 27' | ⚽ | Guillermo · Numancia |
| 63' | 🟨 | Alberto Escassi · Numancia |
| 75' | 🟨 | Fran Cruz · Lorca FC |
| 78' | 🟨 | Carlos Gutiérrez · Numancia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 10 |
| 3 | On target | 6 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 11 | Fouls | 21 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Numancia | Lorca FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| venue | Los Pajaritos |
| coach days | 922.00 | 130.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.27 | 2.98 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1481.77 | 1378.40 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.42 | 11.48 |
| eye test v1 | -0.87 | -0.18 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.05 | -0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.70 | 58.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.62 |
| league points | 31.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 65.20 | 73.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.40 | 54.20 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.72 | 0.89 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.64 | -0.08 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 26.38 | 28.32 |
| state index | -0.01 | -0.36 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.90 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |