← Segunda División 2017 · Sun, Dec 3, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: David Perez Pallas, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria win | 35% | 2.77 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.95 |
| Tenerife win | 31% | 3.12 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | Marco Motta · Almeria |
| 65' | 🟨 | Rubén Alcaraz · Almeria |
| 69' | ⚽ | Juan Muñoz · Almeria |
| 72' | ⚽ | Juan Carlos · Tenerife |
| 80' | 🟨 | Renê · Almeria |
| 90' | 🟨 | Samuele Longo · Tenerife |
| 90' | 🟨 | Juan Carlos · Tenerife |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 18 |
| 6 | On target | 6 |
| 5 | Corners | 10 |
| 12 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Almeria | Tenerife |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.48 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.49 | 0.52 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.51 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.00 |
| venue | Estadio del Mediterráneo |
| coach days | 277.00 | 763.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.72 | 4.00 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1424.10 | 1520.62 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -21.13 | -9.55 |
| eye test v1 | -0.31 | 0.43 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.87 | -0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.10 | 50.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.75 |
| league points | 19.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.40 | 74.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.00 | 46.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.39 |
| season ppg | 1.06 | 1.35 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.40 | -0.50 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 25.83 | 30.65 |
| state index | -0.56 | -0.21 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.23 | -0.30 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |