← Segunda División 2017 · Sun, Dec 3, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Victor Areces Franco, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valladolid win | 51% | 1.92 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.39 |
| Numancia win | 20% | 4.79 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | ⚽ | Jaime Mata · Valladolid |
| 17' | ⚽ | Jaime Mata · Valladolid |
| 21' | 🟨 | Kiko Olivas · Valladolid |
| 26' | 🟨 | Deivid · Valladolid |
| 46' | 🟨 | Dani Calvo · Numancia |
| 60' | ⚽ | Nacho Sánchez · Numancia |
| 65' | 🟨 | Kiko Olivas · Valladolid |
| 65' | 🟥 | Kiko Olivas · Valladolid |
| 71' | ⚽ | Carlos Gutiérrez · Numancia |
| 85' | ⚽ | Guillermo · Numancia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 16 |
| 7 | On target | 7 |
| 10 | Corners | 6 |
| 15 | Fouls | 8 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Valladolid | Numancia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.44 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.55 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| venue | José Zorrilla |
| coach days | 155.00 | 916.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.46 | 2.32 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1507.88 | 1469.00 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -13.41 | -6.74 |
| eye test v1 | 0.50 | -1.27 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.18 | -0.43 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.40 | 63.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.27 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.54 | 0.69 |
| league points | 27.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.20 | 63.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 62.40 | 40.80 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.65 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.00 | -3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 8.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.24 | -1.99 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 28.75 | 27.64 |
| state index | -0.21 | -0.40 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.16 | -0.88 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.13 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |