← Segunda División 2017 · Sat, Dec 2, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Isidro Diaz de Mera Escuderos, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oviedo win | 34% | 2.89 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.91 |
| Lorca FC win | 32% | 3.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | ⚽ | David Rocha · Oviedo |
| 14' | 🟨 | Francisco Dorronsoro · Lorca FC |
| 14' | 🟨 | Cristian Bustos · Lorca FC |
| 23' | 🟨 | Saúl Berjón · Oviedo |
| 26' | ⚽ | Miguel Linares · Oviedo |
| 28' | 🟨 | Ramon Folch · Oviedo |
| 40' | 🟨 | José Carlos Ramírez · Lorca FC |
| 65' | 🟨 | Diegui · Oviedo |
| 82' | 🟨 | — · Lorca FC |
| 83' | 🟨 | Juan Forlin · Oviedo |
| 89' | 🟨 | Miguel Linares · Oviedo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 6 | Shots | 8 |
| 1 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 15 | Fouls | 20 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lorca FC | Oviedo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.44 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.48 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.60 |
| venue | Estadio Francisco Artes Carrasco |
| coach days | 123.00 | 154.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 4.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 7.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.98 | 2.50 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.25 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1391.78 | 1489.51 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 15.83 | 6.42 |
| eye test v1 | 0.19 | -0.38 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.22 | -0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.60 | 57.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.08 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | — |
| league points | 16.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.40 | 72.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.40 | 53.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 0.94 | 1.41 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.41 | -0.22 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.40 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 28.48 | 28.78 |
| state index | -0.23 | -0.12 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.11 | -0.04 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |