← Segunda División 2017 · Sat, Nov 25, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Eduardo Prieto Iglesias, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oviedo win | 48% | 2.05 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.17 |
| Numancia win | 22% | 4.51 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | ⚽ | Carlos Hernández · Oviedo |
| 32' | ⚽ | Higinio Marín · Numancia |
| 36' | 🟨 | Christian Fernández · Oviedo |
| 50' | 🟨 | Ramon Folch · Oviedo |
| 52' | 🟨 | Unai Elgezabal · Numancia |
| 57' | ⚽ (og) | Dani Calvo · Oviedo |
| 67' | ⚽ | Miguel Linares · Oviedo |
| 71' | 🟨 | Diegui · Oviedo |
| 86' | 🟨 | Adrian Ripa · Numancia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 10 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 9 | Corners | 3 |
| 15 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oviedo | Numancia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.19 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 1.80 |
| venue | Jorge Garbajosa |
| coach days | 147.00 | 908.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.31 | 2.22 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1476.87 | 1481.64 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.77 | -12.18 |
| eye test v1 | -0.50 | -0.87 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.09 | -0.45 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.80 | 63.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 1.40 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.59 | 0.73 |
| league points | 21.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.80 | 63.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.00 | 41.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.31 | 1.75 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.00 | -2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.08 | -1.92 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 28.78 | 27.51 |
| state index | 0.02 | -0.26 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.06 | -1.13 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |