← Segunda División 2017 · Sat, Nov 25, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Alvaro Moreno Aragon
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cadiz win | 39% | 2.50 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.03 |
| Valladolid win | 29% | 3.40 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Álex Fernández · Cadiz |
| 21' | 🟨 | Borja · Valladolid |
| 39' | 🟨 | Marcos Mauro · Cadiz |
| 77' | 🟨 | Jon Ander Garrido · Cadiz |
| 80' | 🟨 | Lucas Bijker · Cadiz |
| 84' | 🟨 | Jordi Masip · Valladolid |
| 84' | 🟥 | Luismi · Valladolid |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 5 | Shots | 10 |
| 2 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 22 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cadiz | Valladolid |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.46 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.76 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| venue | Estadio Ramon de Carranza |
| coach days | 603.00 | 147.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 7.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.89 | 3.54 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.01 | 0.27 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1557.24 | 1515.02 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 66.16 | -5.07 |
| eye test v1 | -0.53 | 0.68 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.63 | -0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 46.80 | 59.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 1.37 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.56 |
| league points | 27.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.60 | 81.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.00 | 62.20 |
| rest days | 5.81 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.59 | 1.59 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.52 | 1.37 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 26.63 | 28.43 |
| state index | 0.84 | -0.25 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.08 | 1.12 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |