← Segunda División 2017 · Fri, Nov 17, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Daniel Ocon Arraiz, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria win | 35% | 2.82 |
| Zaragoza win | 34% | 2.88 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 43' | ⚽ | Fran Rodríguez · Almeria |
| 46' | 🟨 | Simone Grippo · Zaragoza |
| 59' | 🟨 | Julián Delmás · Zaragoza |
| 68' | 🟨 | Jorge Morcillo · Almeria |
| 75' | 🟨 | Lucien Owona · Almeria |
| 80' | ⚽ | Rubén Alcaraz · Almeria |
| 90' | ⚽ | Rubén Alcaraz · Almeria |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 10 |
| 7 | On target | 1 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 20 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Almeria | Zaragoza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.25 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| venue | Estadio del Mediterráneo |
| coach days | 261.00 | 139.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.01 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1405.95 | 1470.84 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -58.51 | -2.86 |
| eye test v1 | -0.74 | -0.22 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.17 | -0.31 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.40 | 58.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.75 |
| league points | 15.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.80 | 78.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.80 | 51.80 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 0.94 | 1.27 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | -3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.33 | 0.30 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.30 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 27.09 | 27.28 |
| state index | -1.38 | -0.22 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.36 | 0.63 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |