← Segunda División 2017 · Sun, Nov 12, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Luis Mario Milla Alvendiz
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lugo win | 37% | 2.66 |
| Numancia win | 32% | 3.08 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.09 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 34' | ⚽ | Manu Del Moral · Numancia |
| 40' | 🟨 | Bernardo · Lugo |
| 47' | 🟨 | Iñigo Pérez · Numancia |
| 64' | 🟨 | Pablo Valcarce · Numancia |
| 86' | 🟨 | Adrian Ripa · Numancia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 5 |
| 6 | On target | 1 |
| 9 | Corners | 6 |
| 9 | Fouls | 18 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lugo | Numancia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.80 |
| venue | Anxo Carro |
| coach days | 134.00 | 895.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.37 | 2.26 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1473.54 | 1482.89 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 25.10 | -2.31 |
| eye test v1 | 0.04 | -0.11 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.00 | 0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.30 | 62.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.58 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.72 |
| league points | 23.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.40 | 70.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.80 | 44.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.64 | 1.79 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.01 | -1.02 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 25.74 | 27.48 |
| state index | 0.44 | -0.11 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.01 | -0.95 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.60 |