← Segunda División 2017 · Sat, Nov 11, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Victor Areces Franco, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza win | 36% | 2.74 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win | 34% | 2.90 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.18 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 16 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 2 | Corners | 12 |
| 14 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Zaragoza | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 |
| venue | La Romareda |
| 1.20 |
| coach days | 133.00 | 283.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.95 | 3.13 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.67 |
| elo | 1460.37 | 1536.86 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -13.72 | 7.26 |
| eye test v1 | -0.28 | 0.30 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.23 | -0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.70 | 56.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.85 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.70 |
| league points | 16.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.60 | 81.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.80 | 59.60 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.14 | 1.53 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | 7.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.51 | 1.13 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 27.01 | 25.54 |
| state index | -0.54 | 0.18 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.65 | 0.65 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |