← Segunda División 2017 · Sun, Nov 5, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Gorka Sagues Oscoz, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oviedo win | 51% | 1.92 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.41 |
| Lugo win | 21% | 4.75 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | Cristian Herrera · Lugo |
| 21' | 🟨 | McDonald Mariga · Oviedo |
| 39' | 🟨 | Serge Leuko · Lugo |
| 51' | ⚽ (pen) | Saúl Berjón · Oviedo |
| 54' | ⚽ | Miguel Linares · Oviedo |
| 55' | 🟨 | Roberto Fernández · Lugo |
| 60' | 🟨 | Aaron Ñiguez · Oviedo |
| 61' | ⚽ | Ramon Azeez · Lugo |
| 65' | 🟨 | Luis Ruiz · Lugo |
| 71' | ⚽ | Aaron Ñiguez · Oviedo |
| 90' | 🟨 | Carlos Hernández · Oviedo |
| 90' | 🟨 | Mossa · Oviedo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 12 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 9 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 13 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oviedo | Lugo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 127.00 |
| venue | Jorge Garbajosa |
| 127.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.08 | 2.32 |
| elo | 1458.65 | 1482.89 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -20.38 | 14.50 |
| eye test v1 | -0.30 | -0.15 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.52 | 0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.90 | 64.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.79 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.79 |
| league points | 14.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.40 | 76.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.40 | 53.00 |
| rest days | 6.75 | 7.88 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.17 | 1.92 |
| skill v1 | -0.61 | 0.16 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| state index | -0.28 | 0.16 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.37 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |