← Segunda División 2017 · Mon, Oct 30, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: David Perez Pallas, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Granada win | 55% | 1.79 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.61 |
| Lorca FC win | 18% | 5.30 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | Darwin Machís · Granada |
| 41' | ⚽ (pen) | Darwin Machís · Granada |
| 42' | 🟨 | Alberto Noguera · Lorca FC |
| 44' | 🟨 | Ángel Montoro · Granada |
| 59' | ⚽ | Tropi · Lorca FC |
| 61' | 🟨 | Víctor Díaz · Granada |
| 69' | ⚽ | Joselu · Granada |
| 73' | ⚽ | Darwin Machís · Granada |
| 78' | 🟥 | Sito · Lorca FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 8 |
| 6 | On target | 5 |
| 7 | Corners | 6 |
| 15 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Granada | Lorca FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.20 |
| venue | Nuevo Los Cármenes |
| coach days | 121.00 | 90.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.79 | 2.66 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1499.47 | 1375.95 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 41.07 | -8.81 |
| eye test v1 | -0.03 | 0.78 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.03 | 0.28 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.00 | 61.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | — |
| league points | 19.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.20 | 77.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.60 | 56.40 |
| rest days | 9.04 | 9.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.14 |
| season ppg | 1.73 | 0.75 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 15.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.51 | 0.54 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.00 |
| squad age | 27.37 | 25.72 |
| state index | 0.58 | -0.74 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.30 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.00 |