← Segunda División 2017 · Sun, Oct 29, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Isidro Diaz de Mera Escuderos, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cordoba win | 43% | 2.26 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.17 |
| Numancia win | 26% | 3.66 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | 🟨 | Carlos Gutiérrez · Numancia |
| 32' | ⚽ | Manu Del Moral · Numancia |
| 41' | ⚽ (pen) | Jona · Cordoba |
| 44' | 🟨 | Sergi Guardiola · Cordoba |
| 48' | 🟨 | Luis Valcarce · Numancia |
| 54' | 🟨 | José Fernández · Cordoba |
| 71' | 🟨 | Pape Maly Diamanka · Numancia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 6 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 10 | Corners | 2 |
| 15 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cordoba | Numancia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.00 |
| venue | Estadio Nuevo Arcángel |
| coach days | 28.00 | 881.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.78 | 2.04 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1402.34 | 1475.74 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -38.44 | -19.01 |
| eye test v1 | -0.28 | 0.53 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.14 | 0.33 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.80 | 60.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 1.65 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.74 |
| league points | 9.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.60 | 73.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.40 | 45.00 |
| rest days | 7.04 | 8.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.42 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 0.82 | 1.75 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.04 | -0.63 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 26.05 | 27.01 |
| state index | -1.03 | -0.37 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.22 | -1.07 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |