← Segunda División 2017 · Sat, Oct 21, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Oliver de la Fuente Ramos, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Tenerife win | 35% | 2.82 |
| Lorca FC win | 33% | 2.95 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.02 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | 🟨 | Bryan Acosta · Tenerife |
| 24' | 🟨 | Víctor Casadesús · Tenerife |
| 27' | 🟨 | Tropi · Lorca FC |
| 32' | ⚽ (og) | Bryan Acosta · Lorca FC |
| 39' | ⚽ | Emmanuel Apeh · Lorca FC |
| 45' | ⚽ (pen) | Juan Carlos · Tenerife |
| 53' | 🟨 | Raul Camara · Tenerife |
| 83' | ⚽ | Víctor Casadesús · Tenerife |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 18 | Shots | 6 |
| 11 | On target | 4 |
| 7 | Corners | 1 |
| 20 | Fouls | 25 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lorca FC | Tenerife |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.20 |
| venue | Estadio Francisco Artes Carrasco |
| coach days | 81.00 | 720.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.63 | 2.63 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1373.10 | 1535.19 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -16.89 | 8.70 |
| eye test v1 | 0.43 | -0.02 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.18 | -0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.70 | 54.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.73 |
| league points | 8.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.20 | 73.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.00 | 48.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 0.73 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.67 | -0.41 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 26.40 | 30.74 |
| state index | -0.61 | 0.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.30 | -0.22 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |