← Segunda División 2017 · Sat, Oct 21, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Aitor Gorostegui Fernandez Orte, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Numancia win | 46% | 2.13 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.25 |
| Granada win | 24% | 4.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Pedro · Granada |
| 30' | 🟨 | Chico · Granada |
| 38' | ⚽ | Joselu · Granada |
| 46' | 🟥 | Markel Etxeberria · Numancia |
| 51' | 🟨 | Alberto Martín · Granada |
| 59' | 🟨 | Pedro · Granada |
| 73' | 🟨 | Hernan Menosse · Granada |
| 89' | ⚽ (pen) | Guillermo · Numancia |
| 90' | ⚽ | Rey Manaj · Granada |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 21 | Shots | 17 |
| 8 | On target | 8 |
| 8 | Corners | 2 |
| 11 | Fouls | 13 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Numancia | Granada |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.40 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 873.00 |
| venue | Los Pajaritos |
| 112.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.11 | 1.49 |
| elo | 1454.18 | 1408.48 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 16.14 | 49.00 |
| eye test v1 | -0.13 | -0.21 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.12 | 0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.30 | 60.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.58 | 0.97 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.74 |
| league points | 18.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.00 | 70.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.80 | 48.60 |
| rest days | 6.92 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.30 | -0.72 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| state index | 0.16 | 0.08 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.39 | -0.31 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.00 |