← Segunda División 2017 · Sun, Oct 15, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Inaki Vicandi Garrido, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valladolid win | 43% | 2.28 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.23 |
| Almeria win | 27% | 3.60 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | Verza · Almeria |
| 36' | ⚽ (pen) | Jaime Mata · Valladolid |
| 78' | 🟨 | Juan Muñoz · Almeria |
| 81' | 🟨 | Borja · Valladolid |
| 90' | 🟥 | Fidel · Almeria |
| 90' | 🟨 | Toni Villa · Valladolid |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 10 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 8 | Corners | 6 |
| 11 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Almeria | Valladolid |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.49 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.46 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.60 |
| venue | Estadio del Mediterráneo |
| coach days | 228.00 | 106.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -5.00 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.90 | 2.11 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1464.49 | 1523.16 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.18 | 4.48 |
| eye test v1 | -1.03 | 0.84 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.50 | -0.34 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.90 | 59.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.63 |
| league points | 14.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.80 | 78.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.00 | 58.60 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.39 |
| season ppg | 1.40 | 1.90 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.80 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.38 | 0.84 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 6.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.33 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 6.20 |
| squad age | 27.22 | 27.20 |
| state index | -0.20 | 0.17 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.60 | 0.62 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |