← Segunda División 2017 · Thu, Oct 12, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Juan Luis Pulido Santana, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win | 60% | 1.63 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.06 |
| Almeria win | 16% | 6.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 43' | 🟨 | José Pozo · Almeria |
| 44' | 🟨 | Adrián Embarba · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 45' | 🟥 | Jorge Morcillo · Almeria |
| 53' | ⚽ | Santi Comesaña · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 62' | 🟨 | Nano · Almeria |
| 68' | 🟨 | Unai López · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 84' | 🟨 | José Pozo · Almeria |
| 84' | 🟥 | José Pozo · Almeria |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 6 |
| 8 | On target | 1 |
| 11 | Corners | 3 |
| 10 | Fouls | 24 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | Almeria |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.45 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 253.00 |
| venue | Estadio de Vallecas |
| 225.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.11 | 1.94 |
| elo | 1480.61 | 1429.65 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.38 | 0.05 |
| eye test v1 | -0.32 | -0.61 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.20 | -0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.50 | 58.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 0.99 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.72 |
| league points | 12.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.60 | 80.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.20 | 52.20 |
| rest days | 4.21 | 5.13 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.38 |
| skill v1 | 0.45 | 0.54 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| state index | -0.10 | -0.47 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.20 | 0.59 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |