← Segunda División 2017 · Wed, Oct 11, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Aitor Gorostegui Fernandez Orte, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza win | 37% | 2.64 |
| Lorca FC win | 32% | 3.04 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.16 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | 🟨 | Fran Cruz · Lorca FC |
| 49' | ⚽ | Javi Ros · Zaragoza |
| 57' | 🟨 | Alberto Zapater · Zaragoza |
| 74' | 🟨 | Javi Ros · Zaragoza |
| 81' | ⚽ | Giorgi Papunashvili · Zaragoza |
| 84' | 🟨 | Cristian Bustos · Lorca FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 12 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 12 | Corners | 5 |
| 14 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lorca FC | Zaragoza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.56 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.47 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.25 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.80 |
| venue | Estadio Francisco Artes Carrasco |
| coach days | 71.00 | 102.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | — | 3.63 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1396.39 | 1459.21 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.07 | -1.02 |
| eye test v1 | 0.33 | 0.17 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.12 | 0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.50 | 62.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.80 |
| league points | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.60 | 78.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.20 | 51.20 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 0.89 | 1.13 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.17 | 0.33 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.75 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 25.91 | 26.70 |
| state index | -0.32 | -0.22 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.41 | 0.47 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |