← Segunda División 2017 · Wed, Oct 11, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Gorka Sagues Oscoz, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Numancia win | 55% | 1.79 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.77 |
| Barcelona B win | 19% | 5.02 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | 🟨 | Unai Elgezabal · Numancia |
| 50' | 🟨 | Unai Medina · Numancia |
| 50' | 🟨 | Alberto Escassi · Numancia |
| 53' | 🟨 | Ferran Sarsanedas · Barcelona B |
| 59' | 🟨 | Pablo Valcarce · Numancia |
| 77' | 🟨 | Adrian Ripa · Numancia |
| 81' | 🟨 | Anthony Lozano · Barcelona B |
| 82' | 🟨 | Carles Aleñá · Barcelona B |
| 82' | ⚽ (pen) | Guillermo · Numancia |
| 84' | 🟨 | Marc Cucurella · Barcelona B |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 9 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 8 | Corners | 4 |
| 15 | Fouls | 12 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Numancia | Barcelona B |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.52 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.50 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| venue | Los Pajaritos |
| coach days | 863.00 | 834.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -1.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.46 | — |
| elo | 1441.00 | 1486.80 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 15.35 | -4.74 |
| eye test v1 | -0.79 | 0.50 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.09 | 0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.00 | 59.86 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.69 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.82 | 0.83 |
| league points | 14.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.60 | 78.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.00 | 48.80 |
| rest days | 2.98 | 3.08 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.75 | 1.29 |
| skill v1 | -1.02 | 0.08 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.57 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.40 |
| state index | 0.09 | -0.15 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.33 | 0.08 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | — |