← Segunda División 2017 · Sun, Oct 8, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Victor Areces Franco, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Granada win | 51% | 1.92 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.35 |
| Lugo win | 20% | 4.88 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | ⚽ | Javi Espinosa · Granada |
| 36' | 🟨 | Ángel Montoro · Granada |
| 53' | 🟨 | Bernardo · Lugo |
| 57' | 🟨 | Sergio Díaz · Lugo |
| 84' | 🟥 | Pedro · Granada |
| 89' | 🟨 | Raul Baena · Granada |
| 90' | ⚽ | Pierre Kunde · Granada |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 7 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 8 | Corners | 3 |
| 18 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Granada | Lugo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.54 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.60 |
| venue | Nuevo Los Cármenes |
| coach days | 99.00 | 99.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 1.90 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1470.11 | 1460.48 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.25 | 30.60 |
| eye test v1 | -0.37 | 0.09 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.38 | 0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.10 | 63.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.59 | 0.74 |
| league points | 10.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.00 | 74.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.00 | 55.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| season ppg | 1.43 | 1.63 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.60 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.67 | 0.21 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 27.19 | 26.18 |
| state index | -0.07 | 0.23 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.02 | 0.38 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |