← Segunda División 2017 · Sun, Oct 8, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Luis Mario Milla Alvendiz
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win | 43% | 2.29 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.30 |
| Valladolid win | 28% | 3.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Adrián Embarba · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 16' | ⚽ | Óscar Trejo · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 24' | 🟨 | Óscar Trejo · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 34' | 🟨 | Óscar Plano · Valladolid |
| 37' | 🟨 | Iban Salvador · Valladolid |
| 41' | ⚽ (pen) | Raúl de Tomás · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 52' | ⚽ | Óscar Plano · Valladolid |
| 61' | 🟨 | Asier Villalibre · Valladolid |
| 61' | 🟥 | Luismi · Valladolid |
| 65' | 🟨 | Ángel García · Valladolid |
| 68' | 🟨 | Míchel Herrero · Valladolid |
| 85' | ⚽ | Adrián Embarba · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 6 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 19 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | Valladolid |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.45 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 249.00 |
| venue | Estadio de Vallecas |
| 99.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.62 | 2.10 |
| elo | 1463.99 | 1506.43 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -15.75 | 23.76 |
| eye test v1 | -0.51 | 0.74 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.26 | 0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.30 | 61.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 1.42 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.68 |
| league points | 9.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.00 | 76.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.80 | 50.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.29 | 1.86 |
| skill v1 | 1.01 | 0.05 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 7.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 6.20 |
| state index | -0.36 | 0.28 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.48 | -0.13 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |